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Goldman Sachs

July 3, 2026

Connecting the Dots

Weekly UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesEnergyIndustrials

This weekly research digest highlights new additions to the European Conviction List and analyzes the broad impact of AI-related capex on infrastructure, power, and logistics.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Conviction List added TGS (oil capex beneficiary) and Halma (high-quality growth compounder).
  • 2.AI-driven capex remains a dominant investment theme, with infrastructure bottlenecks creating opportunities in power, electrification, and marine logistics.
  • 3.Talent availability is a critical differentiator for AI outcomes, with Europe facing structural disadvantages compared to the US.

Table of Contents

  • Conviction List
  • Capex and ways to play it from the CL
  • AI drivers – talent is key
  • Europe and the China Dragon
  • GS Research from the week
  • Conviction List
  • Previews
  • Commodities & Industrials
  • AI, Data Centres and CAPEX
  • Capital Markets Activity
  • Ratings Changes & Initiations
  • Tracking the data
  • Sector Updates
  • Conferences & Management Takeaways
  • Reiterate Buy
  • Earnings & CMDs
  • Other Macro
  • Other Global
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Sahar Islam

Securities

TGSHLMA.LSchneider ElectricMAERSKb.CO

Themes

AI Infrastructure and CapexChina CompetitionEnergy Transition

Regions

EuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaGermany