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Goldman Sachs

May 11, 2026

China Cosmetics 2025 1Q26 Wrap

Sector ReportEquitiesConsumer Staples

Goldman Sachs analyzes the China cosmetics sector's 1Q26 performance, highlighting a shift toward omni-channel strategies and offline engagement as online ROI declines. The report favors Mao Geping and Giant Biogene while maintaining a Sell on Bloomage due to competition.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Branded leaders with omni-channel strategies are outperforming due to efficiency in customer acquisition and the return of offline channel relevance.
  • 2.The China beauty sector faces ROI headwinds, with GPM-selling expense ratios contracting for many players due to online saturation.
  • 3.Market share dynamics are shifting; Mao Geping and KANS are gaining share while previous leaders like Proya and Winona see share pressure.

Table of Contents

  • Key Events to Watch for 2Q26
  • Refreshing competitive dynamics in 2025
  • 2025/1Q26 results summary
  • Valuation
  • Botanee (300957.SZ): 4Q25/1Q26 review
  • Bloomage (688363.SS): 4Q25/1Q26 review
  • Peer results read-across
  • Price Target Risks and Methodology
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Valerie Zhou

Securities

MGP2367.HK603605.SS688363.SS300957.SZ2145.HKMSCI China

Themes

Omni-channel StrategyROI Headwinds in E-commerceDomestic Substitution

Regions

Asia PacificChina