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Goldman Sachs

May 10, 2026

Canada Economics Comment Unemployment Rate Increases

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsIndustrialsMaterials

Canadian employment fell by 18k in April as the unemployment rate rose to 6.9%, driven by a significant loss in full-time jobs. These results reinforce expectations that the Bank of Canada will maintain its policy rate at 2.25% in 2026.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Canada's employment unexpectedly declined by 18k in April, significantly missing the consensus forecast of a 10k increase.
  • 2.The unemployment rate rose to 6.9%, driven by a sharp decline of 47k in full-time positions.
  • 3.The softening labor market supports the view that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will keep the policy rate at 2.25% through 2026.

Table of Contents

  • BOTTOM LINE
  • KEY NUMBERS
  • MAIN POINTS
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Global product; distributing entities
  • General disclosures

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