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Goldman Sachs

May 21, 2026

BT Group Results Small Beat

Single Stock ReportEquitiesCommunication Services

BT reported a small beat in 4Q26 results and introduced FY27 guidance largely in line with consensus. Goldman Sachs maintains a 'Buy' rating, expecting material FCF acceleration and shareholder return upside as fiber roll-out costs begin to decline.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.BT delivered a small 4Q26 results beat compared to consensus, primarily driven by robust performance in Consumer and Business units.
  • 2.Openreach line losses of -203k were better than the consensus estimate of -227k, providing reassurance regarding altnet competition.
  • 3.Significant Free Cash Flow (FCF) acceleration is expected from FY27, with post-pension FCF projected to rise from £0.5bn to £1.3bn+.

Table of Contents

  • In the detail
  • Valuation and risks
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • GS Factor Profile
  • M&A Rank
  • Quantum
  • Disclosures
  • Company-specific regulatory disclosures
  • Distribution of ratings/investment banking relationships
  • Price target and rating history chart(s)
  • Target price history table(s)
  • Regulatory disclosures
  • Ratings, coverage universe and related definitions
  • Global product; distributing entities
  • General disclosures

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Authors

Andrew LeeHalima ElyasMollie WitcombeSofija RakicevicMridul Agrawal

Securities

BT.L

Themes

Free Cash Flow InflectionOpenreach Infrastructure DominanceShareholder Return Upside

Regions

EuropeUnited Kingdom