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Goldman Sachs

May 28, 2026

Brazil Homebuilders: Lunch with Construtora Lindenberg

Sector ReportEquitiesReal EstateMacro Economic IndicatorsReal Estate

Goldman Sachs hosted a lunch with the management of Construtora Adolpho Lindenberg to discuss Sao Paulo's high-income residential market. While 1Q26 saw record sales, May exhibits headwinds from electoral and geopolitical uncertainty alongside rising construction costs.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Lindenberg's sales were record-breaking in 1Q26, but momentum slowed in May due to electoral uncertainty and geopolitical concerns (Middle East war).
  • 2.Construction cost inflation (INCC) is projected to reach 9% in 2026, though its impact on high-income developers is mitigated by the higher relative cost of land.
  • 3.The high-income residential market in Sao Paulo shows limited risk of material inventory increases as developers remain disciplined in their launch schedules.

Table of Contents

  • Brazil Homebuilders: Lunch with Construtora Lindenberg
  • Sales have been healthy yet increasing concerns on the outlook.
  • Construction costs:
  • Company structure.
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Jorel GuillotyIgor Machado

Securities

Construtora Adolpho LindenbergEZTC3.SACYRE3.5A

Themes

Macro and Geopolitical Impact on Consumer ConfidenceConstruction Cost InflationInventory Discipline in High-Income Real Estate

Regions

Latin AmericaBrazil