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Goldman Sachs

May 18, 2026

Brambles First Take Trading Update

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Goldman Sachs maintains a Sell rating on Brambles following a trading update highlighting US subcontractor exits that caused operational disruption and a US$60m cost impact. While demand remains strong, repair capacity constraints are forcing costly pallet relocations and temporary volume losses.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.US subcontractor service centre disruption in the Northeast and Central regions has constrained repair capacity, leading to supply issues for US customers.
  • 2.Management estimates a ~US$60m impact in FY26 due to supply chain inflation and lost volumes, though most costs are viewed as transient and expected to resolve by 1H27.
  • 3.Brambles is absorbing short-term cost increases rather than passing them to customers, deferring new customer onboarding in affected areas.

Table of Contents

  • Our key takeaways from the BXB sell-side call, following the FY26 trading update
  • Price Target Risks and Methodology - Brambles
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • GS Factor Profile
  • M&A Rank
  • Quantum
  • Disclosures
  • Price target and rating history chart(s)
  • Target price history table(s)
  • Regulatory disclosures

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Authors

Niraj ShahSophie YuAlex Nosatti

Securities

BXBAMC

Themes

Supply Chain DisruptionLabor ShortagesInflationary Cost Absorption

Regions

North AmericaEuropeLatin AmericaUnited StatesAustralia