Goldman Sachs
May 20, 2026
Basics - NVDA Ahead, Auto Traffic Down, Speed of Rebound
Market ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXInformation TechnologyEnergy
The report highlights NVDA's upcoming earnings as a pivotal market anchor and discusses the macroeconomic pressures of high global rates and AI infrastructure costs. It also notes signs of consumer fatigue in Europe and the 'impossible triangle' facing Japanese monetary policy.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Nvidia (NVDA) earnings represent the week's anchor event, with markets focused on gross margins and guidance over simple beats.
- 2.Japan is facing an 'impossible triangle' trying to maintain stable FX, stable rates, and growth, with FX likely to bear the brunt of future adjustments.
- 3.Supply is emerging as a dominant macro theme as the global economy finances massive physical infrastructure for AI, potentially crowding out sovereign debt.
Table of Contents
- Overnight
- Oil Impact
- Japan/JPY
- Rates
- AI/NVDA
- Risk
- side-note
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Authors
Rich Privorotsky
Securities
NVDAGOOGLAMDVinciNKY
Themes
AI Infrastructure Capex vs Bond YieldsThe Impossible Triangle of Japanese PolicyPrimary Equity Supply
Regions
North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesJapanUnited Kingdom
