Goldman Sachs
May 11, 2026
Bank of China 1Q26 Post Result NDR Takeaways
Single Stock ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsMacro Economic IndicatorsFinancials
Goldman Sachs reports that Bank of China expects NIM improvement in 2026 and targets 8% loan growth while maintaining a 30% dividend payout ratio. Management remains optimistic about stable revenue growth despite pressure in retail consumer loan asset quality.
Key Takeaways
- 1.NIM is expected to improve in 2026 from 4Q25 levels, driven by lower funding costs as deposit repricing continues.
- 2.Full-year loan growth is targeted at approximately 8%, supported by robust corporate loan expansion.
- 3.Asset quality remains largely stable, with a focus on managing consumer loan pressure and a slight rise in mortgage NPL ratios to 0.8%.
Table of Contents
- NIM
- Loans
- Deposits
- Asset Quality
- Non-NII
- Capital, Profit, Shareholder Return
- Price Target Risks and Methodology - Bank of China
- GS Forecast
- Disclosure Appendix
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Authors
Shuo YangClaire Ouyang
Securities
3988601988
Themes
Net Interest Margin (NIM) StabilizationCost of Funding ReductionNon-Interest Income Diversification
Regions
Asia PacificChina
