Goldman Sachs
June 3, 2026
Australian Autos May 2026 VFACTS First Take
Market ReportEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsConsumer Discretionary
Australian new vehicle sales fell 2.3% in May 2026, driven by a decline in LCVs and large SUVs, while EV and Chinese brand adoption reached record highs. The GS 4x4 accessory index dropped 28% as supply constraints and changing consumer preferences impacted traditional market leaders.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The GS key model index, which tracks 4x4 accessory demand, fell 28% YoY in May, impacted by Toyota supply constraints and a consumer shift toward EVs.
- 2.Total new vehicle sales in Australia declined 2.3% YoY, with Light Commercial Vehicles (LCV) falling significantly by 15%.
- 3.Tesla became the first EV brand to top the monthly sales chart in Australia, as petrol and diesel sales saw sharp declines.
Table of Contents
- Key takeaways
- Key charts
- Valuation methodology (ARB)
- Valuation methodology (AOV)
- Disclosure Appendix
- Price target and rating history chart(s)
- Target price history table(s)
- Regulatory disclosures
- Ratings, coverage universe and related definitions
- Global product; distributing entities
- General disclosures
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Authors
Elijah MayrElise Bailey
Securities
AOV.AXARB.AXTSLA1211 HK
Themes
Energy Transition (ICE to EV)Chinese Automotive ExpansionMacroeconomic Headwinds
Regions
Asia PacificAustraliaChina
