Goldman Sachs
May 13, 2026
Australia Housing Finance Loan Commitments Fall
Macro ThematicReal EstateMacro Economic IndicatorsFinancialsReal Estate
Australian new dwelling finance commitments fell 3.8% in 1Q2026, missing expectations of 0.0%. This broad-based decline across investors and owner-occupiers follows recent interest rate hikes in early 2026.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The total value of new dwelling finance commitments fell by 3.8% in 1Q2026, which was significantly below market and Goldman Sachs expectations of 0.0% growth.
- 2.The decline in loan commitments was broad-based, with owner-occupiers falling 4.3% and investors falling 3.0% quarter-over-quarter.
- 3.First-home buyer activity saw a sharper decline of 6.7% in the quarter, despite an increase in the average size of loans.
Table of Contents
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- Disclosure Appendix
- Global product; distributing entities
- General disclosures
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Authors
Andrew BoakWill MaherOscar To
Securities
RBA Cash Rate
Themes
Impact of monetary tightening on housingSlowdown in Australian residential finance
Regions
Asia PacificAustralia
