Goldman Sachs
May 24, 2026
Australia and NZ Weekly Economic Preview Review
Weekly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsOther
A weekly review of Australian and New Zealand macroeconomics, projecting the RBA to hold rates in June and the RBNZ to hold the OCR at 2.25% in May.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The RBA is expected to remain on hold in June following a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.5%, with a final rate hike now projected for August.
- 2.Australian headline CPI inflation is forecast to remain steady at 4.6% yoy for April, though trimmed mean inflation may edge slightly higher to 3.4% yoy.
- 3.The RBNZ is forecast to maintain the Official Cash Rate at 2.25% in May as core inflation and wage growth remain contained.
Table of Contents
- Key data over the past week
- Key focus in the week ahead
- Australia: Week commencing 25 May 2026
- Wednesday 27 May, 11:30am AEST CPI, April
- Construction Activity, 1Q2026
- Thursday 28 May, 11:30am AEST Household Spending, April
- Private Capex, 1Q2026
- Friday 29 May, 11:30am AEST Credit, April
- New Zealand: Week commencing 25 May 2026
- Wednesday 27 May, 2:00pm NZT RBNZ Official Cash Rate & Monetary Policy Statement, May
- Thursday 28 May, 2:00pm NZT New Zealand Budget 2026
- Australia & NZ Indicator Dashboard
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Authors
Andrew BoakWill MaherOscar To
Securities
RBA Official Cash RateRBNZ Official Cash Rate
Themes
Central Bank Policy DivergenceEnergy-Driven Inflation Volatility
Regions
Asia PacificAustraliaNew Zealand
