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Goldman Sachs

May 24, 2026

Australia and NZ Weekly Economic Preview Review

Weekly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsOther

A weekly review of Australian and New Zealand macroeconomics, projecting the RBA to hold rates in June and the RBNZ to hold the OCR at 2.25% in May.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The RBA is expected to remain on hold in June following a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.5%, with a final rate hike now projected for August.
  • 2.Australian headline CPI inflation is forecast to remain steady at 4.6% yoy for April, though trimmed mean inflation may edge slightly higher to 3.4% yoy.
  • 3.The RBNZ is forecast to maintain the Official Cash Rate at 2.25% in May as core inflation and wage growth remain contained.

Table of Contents

  • Key data over the past week
  • Key focus in the week ahead
  • Australia: Week commencing 25 May 2026
  • Wednesday 27 May, 11:30am AEST CPI, April
  • Construction Activity, 1Q2026
  • Thursday 28 May, 11:30am AEST Household Spending, April
  • Private Capex, 1Q2026
  • Friday 29 May, 11:30am AEST Credit, April
  • New Zealand: Week commencing 25 May 2026
  • Wednesday 27 May, 2:00pm NZT RBNZ Official Cash Rate & Monetary Policy Statement, May
  • Thursday 28 May, 2:00pm NZT New Zealand Budget 2026
  • Australia & NZ Indicator Dashboard

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Authors

Andrew BoakWill MaherOscar To

Securities

RBA Official Cash RateRBNZ Official Cash Rate

Themes

Central Bank Policy DivergenceEnergy-Driven Inflation Volatility

Regions

Asia PacificAustraliaNew Zealand