Goldman Sachs
May 10, 2026
Americas Transportation: The Monthly Mosaic
Monthly UpdateEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsIndustrials
The April 2026 data indicates a synchronized global manufacturing expansion and a significant inflection in trucking spot rates, which are up 22% YoY. Goldman Sachs maintains a positive outlook on trucking stocks, believing the sector cycle is bottoming.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Global manufacturing activity was mostly expansionary in April, with the US ISM Manufacturing Index holding at 52.7 and China's PMI showing slight acceleration.
- 2.The trucking market shows signs of tightening as spot rates (ex-fuel) surged +22% YoY in April due to limited driver capacity and increased load availability.
- 3.Ocean freight rates inflected into positive YoY growth territory for the first time recently, hitting +9% YoY in April versus -11% in March.
Table of Contents
- Macro
- Rail: Volume & Price
- Rail: Service Metrics
- Airfreight & Logistics
- Truck: Volume & Price
- Truck: Capacity
- Disclosure Appendix
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Authors
Jordan AlligerAndrzej Tomczyk, CFAPaul Stoddard
Securities
WERNKNXJBHTUNP
Themes
Global Manufacturing ExpansionTrucking Rate RecoveryInventory Restocking Impulse
Regions
North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaMexico
