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Goldman Sachs

May 10, 2026

Americas Transportation: The Monthly Mosaic

Monthly UpdateEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsIndustrials

The April 2026 data indicates a synchronized global manufacturing expansion and a significant inflection in trucking spot rates, which are up 22% YoY. Goldman Sachs maintains a positive outlook on trucking stocks, believing the sector cycle is bottoming.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Global manufacturing activity was mostly expansionary in April, with the US ISM Manufacturing Index holding at 52.7 and China's PMI showing slight acceleration.
  • 2.The trucking market shows signs of tightening as spot rates (ex-fuel) surged +22% YoY in April due to limited driver capacity and increased load availability.
  • 3.Ocean freight rates inflected into positive YoY growth territory for the first time recently, hitting +9% YoY in April versus -11% in March.

Table of Contents

  • Macro
  • Rail: Volume & Price
  • Rail: Service Metrics
  • Airfreight & Logistics
  • Truck: Volume & Price
  • Truck: Capacity
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Jordan AlligerAndrzej Tomczyk, CFAPaul Stoddard

Securities

WERNKNXJBHTUNP

Themes

Global Manufacturing ExpansionTrucking Rate RecoveryInventory Restocking Impulse

Regions

North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaMexico