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Goldman Sachs

May 28, 2026

AkzoNobel Rejects Nippon Paint and Sherwin-Williams Cash Offer

Sector ReportEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsMaterials

AkzoNobel has rejected a joint all-cash takeover bid of €73/share from Nippon Paint and Sherwin-Williams, maintaining its commitment to a merger with Axalta. Goldman Sachs notes the offer is valued below historical precedent multiples and faces substantial anti-trust challenges in key global markets.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.AkzoNobel rejected a €73/share cash offer from Nippon Paint and Sherwin-Williams, citing inadequate valuation and execution uncertainty.
  • 2.The €73/share offer implies a 12x FY26 EV/EBITDA multiple, which is below the 13.3x average for historical precedent transactions in the sector.
  • 3.Significant regulatory hurdles exist for the deal, particularly in decorative paints in China and Europe, and global marine/protective coatings.

Table of Contents

  • Akzo Nobel rejects cash offer from Nippon Paint and Sherwin-Williams
  • Nippon Paint and Sherwin Williams to consider next steps, if any
  • Nippon Paints/Sherwin-Williams' offer in the context of precedent transactions
  • AkzoNobel/Axalta proposed merger sets a high bar for synergy extraction
  • Relative market share considerations — AkzoNobel, Nippon Paint, and Sherwin-Williams
  • GS view
  • Nippon Paint (Covered by Atsushi Ikeda)
  • MSV Discipline
  • Sherwin-Williams (Covered by Duffy Fischer)
  • Paints & Coatings Industry Overview
  • Valuation & risks

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Authors

Georgia Fraser, Ph.D.Duffy FischerAtsushi Ikeda

Securities

AKZO.AS4612.TSHWAXTA

Themes

M&A and Industry ConsolidationAntitrust and Regulatory ScrutinySynergy Capture and Operational Efficiency

Regions

GlobalAsia PacificEuropeChinaFranceItaly