Goldman Sachs
May 28, 2026
AkzoNobel Rejects Nippon Paint and Sherwin-Williams Cash Offer
Sector ReportEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsMaterials
AkzoNobel has rejected a joint all-cash takeover bid of €73/share from Nippon Paint and Sherwin-Williams, maintaining its commitment to a merger with Axalta. Goldman Sachs notes the offer is valued below historical precedent multiples and faces substantial anti-trust challenges in key global markets.
Key Takeaways
- 1.AkzoNobel rejected a €73/share cash offer from Nippon Paint and Sherwin-Williams, citing inadequate valuation and execution uncertainty.
- 2.The €73/share offer implies a 12x FY26 EV/EBITDA multiple, which is below the 13.3x average for historical precedent transactions in the sector.
- 3.Significant regulatory hurdles exist for the deal, particularly in decorative paints in China and Europe, and global marine/protective coatings.
Table of Contents
- Akzo Nobel rejects cash offer from Nippon Paint and Sherwin-Williams
- Nippon Paint and Sherwin Williams to consider next steps, if any
- Nippon Paints/Sherwin-Williams' offer in the context of precedent transactions
- AkzoNobel/Axalta proposed merger sets a high bar for synergy extraction
- Relative market share considerations — AkzoNobel, Nippon Paint, and Sherwin-Williams
- GS view
- Nippon Paint (Covered by Atsushi Ikeda)
- MSV Discipline
- Sherwin-Williams (Covered by Duffy Fischer)
- Paints & Coatings Industry Overview
- Valuation & risks
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Authors
Georgia Fraser, Ph.D.Duffy FischerAtsushi Ikeda
Securities
AKZO.AS4612.TSHWAXTA
Themes
M&A and Industry ConsolidationAntitrust and Regulatory ScrutinySynergy Capture and Operational Efficiency
Regions
GlobalAsia PacificEuropeChinaFranceItaly
