Trump/Xi Meeting Expectations and Q1 Previews: BABA, Tencent, and SE

Sector ReportEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsInformation TechnologyCommunication Services

This report previews Q1 earnings for major Chinese TMT companies including Alibaba, Tencent, and Sea Limited, while analyzing expectations for an upcoming Trump/Xi trade meeting.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Focus is on Q1 earnings for major Chinese ADRs (TCEHY/BABA/SE) with over $1 trillion in market cap reporting this week.
  • 2.The Trump/Xi meeting on Thursday is expected to focus narrowly on trade and export controls, with low initial market expectations.
  • 3.Cloud growth is a critical metric, with GIR forecasting +40% y/y for BABA Cloud, driven by surging token demand.

Table of Contents

  • Key themes to be watching at earnings...
  • BABA (Reports 5/14 Pre-Market)
  • TCEHY (Reports 5/14 Pre-Market)
  • SE (Reports 5/12 Pre-Market)
  • Additional Disclaimers
  • Notice to Australian Investors
  • Notice to Brazilian Investors
  • Notice to Investors in Japan
  • Notice to New Zealand Investors
  • Notice to Swiss Investors
  • Notice to Investors in Korea

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Authors

Alexander Joseph

Securities

BABATCEHYSEMELIGSXACUEK

Themes

AI Monetization & Hyper-scaler CapexUS-China Geopolitical Trade RelationsCloud Infrastructure Growth

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaLatin AmericaChinaUnited StatesBrazil