Month-End Perspective

Market ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsVolatilityOther

Goldman Sachs forecasts $14 billion in US equity selling from pensions for month-end rebalancing following 4.8% equity outperformance over bonds. Volatility markets show extreme divergence between single-stock and index levels.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Goldman Sachs estimates a $14 billion sell-off of US equities from pensions due to equity outperformance over fixed income.
  • 2.US equities have outperformed fixed income by 4.80% month-to-date, with the S&P 500 up 3.77% and 10-year bonds down 1.03%.
  • 3.Implied volatility shows significant divergence between single stocks and indices, with realized correlation sitting in the 5th percentile.

Table of Contents

  • How does this May rebalance stack up vs history?
  • Some charts below...
  • Vol
  • Additional Disclaimers

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Authors

Braden Burke

Securities

SPX10-year Treasury

Themes

Systematic Pension RebalancingVolatility Surface Divergence

Regions

North AmericaUnited States