Global Equities Call

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesInformation TechnologyConsumer Discretionary

Global markets are under pressure from US-Iran tensions and high yields, while investors focus on pivotal Nvidia earnings and retail prints. Despite new highs, the market faces narrowing breadth and overextended momentum in AI-related themes.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Global equities are retreating as geopolitical tensions (US/Iran) and rising bond yields/oil prices weigh on market sentiment.
  • 2.The AI trade remains the primary driver of the S&P 500, accounting for 85% of index returns YTD, though market breadth is narrowing.
  • 3.Systematic re-risking (CTA/vol control) is largely maxed out, creating a risk of sizeable supply if the market breaks lower.

Table of Contents

  • GS Week Ahead
  • Consumer Check In
  • US WEEKLY KICKSTART: AI, Momentum, and the One Big Trade
  • Global Market Views: Shortages
  • STANDOUTS FROM LAST WEEK
  • GS Prime Updates
  • Flows
  • Chart of the day
  • GS RATING AND CONVICTION LIST CHANGES

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Authors

Matthew KaplanJonathan HurvitzChloe GarberLilly Belt

Securities

NVDASPXWMTTGT

Themes

AI Concentration & Momentum ExtremesGeopolitical Fragility (US-Iran)Consumer Vulnerability

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesChinaJapan