Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC
May 20, 2026
Consumer: Five Tactical Takes
Sector ReportEquitiesConsumer DiscretionaryConsumer Staples
This tactical update reviews Q1 earnings from major consumer retailers and restaurants, noting strong beats from TGT and CAVA while highlighting a more nuanced reaction to LOW and signs of momentum at VFC.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Target (TGT) significantly exceeded expectations for Q1 comps, driven by transaction growth, although the bottom-line guide raise was modest.
- 2.Lowe's (LOW) met its in-line comp expectations but underperformed relative to the market's hope for a beat, narrowing its performance gap with Home Depot.
- 3.CAVA Group continues to show exceptional resilience with a 9.7% comp beat and strong 2Q momentum despite broader restaurant sector headwinds.
Table of Contents
- Here is what we are watching from a tactical perspective
- Notice to Australian Investors
- Additional Disclaimers
- Notice to Brazilian Investors
- Notice to Investors in the European Economic Area
- Notice to Investors in Korea
- Notice to Investors in Japan
- Notice to Investors in New Zealand
- Notice to Investors in Switzerland
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Authors
Scott Feiler
Securities
TGTLOWCAVAVFCHDTJX
Themes
Consumer Earnings ResilienceComp Inflection vs. Bottom-Line Guide
Regions
North AmericaGlobalUnited States
