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Deutsche Bank

July 12, 2026

US Economic Notes

Weekly UpdateRates Govt BondsOther

This report highlights a critical week for US macro data, including CPI, PPI, and Fed Chair Warsh's semi-annual testimony. Markets will focus on inflation prints and subsequent Fed official commentary to gauge policy direction before the upcoming FOMC meeting.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The economic calendar is heavy with Tuesday's CPI and Wednesday's PPI releases, coinciding with Fed Chair Warsh's first Humphrey-Hawkins testimony.
  • 2.Deutsche Bank expects headline CPI to decline 0.16% for June, impacted by falling gas prices, while core CPI is forecast at +0.23%.
  • 3.Fed communication intensifies this week before the communications blackout period; market participants will be watching for signals regarding the July FOMC meeting.

Table of Contents

  • US Economic Notes
  • Post CPI Conference Call
  • Appendix 1
  • Analyst Certification
  • Important Disclosures

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Authors

Brett RyanMatthew LuzzettiJustin WeidnerAmy Yang

Securities

US 10-year Treasury note

Themes

Inflationary TrendsMonetary Policy

Regions

North AmericaUnited States