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Deutsche Bank

June 30, 2026

Tesla 2Q26 Deliveries Preview

Company UpdateEquitiesConsumer Discretionary

Deutsche Bank projects Tesla's 2Q26 vehicle deliveries to hit 416k, outperforming consensus expectations driven by strong European performance. The analyst maintains an optimistic outlook for hitting ~1.63m annual delivery targets.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Tesla 2Q26 deliveries are expected to reach 416k units, exceeding company-compiled consensus of 413k-420k.
  • 2.European market strength is the primary growth driver for 2Q26, with anticipated YoY growth of nearly 40%.

Table of Contents

  • 2Q26 Deliveries Preview
  • Valuation & Risks
  • Appendix 1
  • Important Disclosures
  • Important Disclosures Required by U.S. Regulators
  • Important Disclosures Required by Non-U.S. Regulators
  • Analyst Certification
  • Historical recommendations and target price: Tesla Inc. (TSLA.OQ)
  • Equity rating dispersion and banking relationships
  • Equity Rating and Dispersion Key
  • Additional Information

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Authors

Edison YuWinnie DongLaura LiJames Mulholland

Securities

TSLA

Themes

EV Production VolumeRegional Sales Divergence

Regions

North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaGermany