Deutsche Bank
July 6, 2026
Focus Europe: The Status Of European Defence
Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsOther
This report examines the status of European defense spending and industrial capacity ahead of the July 2026 NATO summit, highlighting a three-speed spending approach across the continent.
Key Takeaways
- 1.European defense spending is rising, with the six largest economies expected to reach a GDP-weighted average of 2.8% by 2029.
- 2.Fiscal constraints and political pressures, particularly in Italy and Spain, create obstacles to meeting the NATO 3.5% core defense spending target.
- 3.Common EU funding mechanisms, such as topping up the SAFE facility, are being discussed to bridge the gap between national spending and defense needs.
Table of Contents
- Taking stock of Europe’s security challenges
- Where are we now on European defence spending
- The funding question and the fiscal constraints
- Common defence funding debate in focus
- What's the status of Europe's defence industrial ramp up
- Securing European defence is as much about strategy as about spending levels
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Authors
Peter SidorovClemente DeluciaMarion MuehlbergerMark WallYacine RouimiSanjay Raja
Themes
Defense Industrial BaseEuropean Defense SpendingFiscal ConstraintsNATO 3.0
Regions
EuropeGermanyFranceUnited Kingdom
