Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank
June 25, 2026
US 2026 Midterm Election Update
Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsOther
The report suggests Democrats are well-positioned to take control of the House of Representatives while the Senate remains a toss-up. This outcome would likely lead to significant legislative gridlock in the coming years.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Democrats are favored to regain control of the House, as they need a net gain of only three seats.
- 2.The Senate control is increasingly uncertain, shifting toward a toss-up with Republicans holding a narrow edge.
- 3.Control of Congress will dictate fiscal policy potential in 2027-2028 and the confirmation of key nominees.
Table of Contents
- US 2026 midterm election update: Senate moving closer to a toss-up
- Democrats in good shape to re-take the House
- Republicans may hang on in the Senate, but close to a coin flip
- Conclusion
- Macro Research advanced tools
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Authors
Nicholas Van Ness
Themes
Legislative GridlockPresidential Approval RatingsUS Midterm Elections
Regions
Middle EastUnited StatesIran
