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May 14, 2026

The Point for Latin America

Daily UpdateEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesConsumer DiscretionaryUtilities

Citi Research has downgraded MercadoLibre to Neutral following weaker 1Q26 results while initiating a Buy on Cencosud. The report also highlights rising fiscal risks in Mexico and the impact of Middle East disruptions on global agriculture and GCC credit.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.MercadoLibre (MELI) is downgraded to Neutral/High-Risk from Buy due to reduced visibility on margin trajectory and intense investment cycles.
  • 2.Citi initiates coverage on Cencosud (CENCOSUD.SN) with a Buy rating, viewing 2026 as a transition year ahead of 2027 margin expansion.
  • 3.Mexico's credit rating outlook was shifted to negative by S&P, with risks of further downgrades due to fiscal consolidation challenges.

Table of Contents

  • Top Call
  • Company
  • Industry
  • Strategy & Economics
  • Global
  • Key Rating and Target Price Changes

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Authors

João Pedro SoaresSofia FaluJoao Pimentel

Securities

MELICencosudENEV3.SAEQTL3.SAGAA_p.CN

Themes

Post-Pandemic Investment DurationResilience of Brazilian Real EstateGeopolitical Disruption to Supply Chains

Regions

Latin AmericaMiddle EastBrazilMexicoChile