China's significantly reduced crude oil imports appear sustainable, as the country can maintain refinery operations without aggressive inventory depletion. Meanwhile, ongoing US-Iran tensions continue to support elevated Brent crude oil price forecasts.
Key Takeaways
- 1.China's crude oil imports have significantly dropped, but can be sustained at current lower levels without needing to draw down inventories.
- 2.Rising US-Iran tensions are keeping upward pressure on Brent crude prices, with a forecast of $110 average in 3Q'26.
Table of Contents
- CITI'S TAKE
- ANALYST CERTIFICATION
- IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
- RESEARCH ANALYST AFFILIATIONS / NON-US RESEARCH ANALYST DISCLOSURES
- OTHER DISCLOSURES
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Authors
Anthony YuenEric G LeeFrancesco MartocciaMaximilian J LaytonXiaodan ZhuArkady Gevorkyan
Themes
China's Energy Consumption ResilienceGeopolitical Oil Risk
Regions
Middle EastAsia PacificChinaUnited StatesIran