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Citi

June 8, 2026

Metal Matters

Commodities StrategyCommoditiesOther

Citi Research maintains a bearish near-term view on gold as it breaks below its 200-day moving average, downgrading its 0-3 month price target to $4,000/oz. The firm advises that dip-buying remains high-risk until there is clarity on the Strait of Hormuz situation.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Gold prices are facing near-term bearish pressure after closing below the 200-day moving average.
  • 2.The firm downgraded its 0-3 month point-price target for gold to $4,000/oz from $4,300/oz.
  • 3.Headwinds from the Strait of Hormuz impasse and expectations of higher interest rates are driving current gold market weakness.

Table of Contents

  • Citi's Take
  • Appendix A-1
  • Analyst Certification
  • Important Disclosures
  • Research Analyst Affiliations / Non-US Research Analyst Disclosures
  • Other Disclosures

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Authors

Kenny HuMaximilian J LaytonViswanathrao KintaliWenyu YaoTom MulqueenShreyas MadabushiEphrem RaviJack ShangAlexander Hacking

Themes

Geopolitical risk (Strait of Hormuz)Technical Analysis (200dMA breakout)Central Bank Policy (Fed)

Regions

Asia PacificUnited StatesIndiaTurkey