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Citi

June 17, 2026

Global Macro Strategy

Macro ThematicFXRates CreditEnergy

Citi shifts strategy to long USDNOK following a surprisingly hawkish Federal Reserve meeting led by Chair Warsh. The firm also exited its Dec26/Dec27 steepener trade and initiated a new SFRZ6 payer hedge.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Fed was surprisingly hawkish in Chair Warsh's first meeting, with nine of 18 dots signaling a hike and an emphasis on price stability.
  • 2.Strategy shifts include going long USDNOK and exiting the Dec26/Dec27 steepener trade.

Table of Contents

  • CITI'S TAKE
  • Appendix A-1

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Authors

Alice ZhengDirk WillerAdam PickettGiammarco Miani

Securities

USDNOKBrent Crude

Themes

Hawkish Fed PivotUSD Strength

Regions

GlobalUnited StatesNorway