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Cboe

June 15, 2026

Macro Volatility Digest

Weekly UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesEnergyOther

Cboe's Macro Volatility Digest reports a widespread decline in cross-asset implied volatility following the easing of US-Iran geopolitical tensions. The market is currently focused on the upcoming FOMC meeting and new product launches for XSP-based options.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Implied volatilities across major asset classes have declined following the reduction of geopolitical risk premia tied to the US-Iranian peace agreement and the opening of the Strait of Hormuz.
  • 2.The Fed is widely expected to keep rates unchanged at the upcoming FOMC meeting, with markets pricing a 99.9% probability of a pause.
  • 3.Cboe is launching new defined-outcome products, specifically XSP Binary Options and Quoted $1 XSP Vertical Spreads, starting June 15, 2026.

Table of Contents

  • WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY
  • Cross-Asset Volatility Monitor
  • Macro Equity Volatility
  • VIX Index Volatility
  • US Index Volatility
  • Cboe Derivatives Market Intelligence

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Authors

Ed Tom

Securities

SPXVIXXSP

Themes

Geopolitical De-escalationVolatility NormalizationMonetary Policy Transition

Regions

Middle EastUnited StatesIran