BNP Paribas
January 1, 2026
Hedge Fund Outlook 2026
Market ReportCommoditiesCryptoEquitiesEnergyFinancials
The BNP Paribas 2026 Hedge Fund Outlook highlights a peak in investor sentiment, with 66% of surveyed allocators intending to increase exposure following a year of 10.53% average returns. Key trends include a pivot toward European and Asian markets and a significant appetite for Discretionary Macro and Quant strategies.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Hedge funds successfully met allocator return targets in 2025, yielding an average of 10.53% (Cash + 641 bps).
- 2.Investor sentiment is highly bullish for 2026, with 66% of allocators planning to increase their hedge fund exposure.
- 3.Europe and Asia Pacific are the top regional allocation hotspots, while interest in North America has cooled relative to previous years.
Table of Contents
- 01 METHODOLOGY & RESPONDENT PROFILE
- 02 HEDGE FUND PERFORMANCE TRENDS & PREDICTIONS
- 03 HEDGE FUND ASSET FLOW TRENDS & PREDICTIONS
- 04 HEDGE FUND PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION & PLANS
- 05 HEDGE FUND STRATEGY ALLOCATION PLANS
- 06 HEDGE FUND FEES
- 07 SEPARATELY MANAGED ACCOUNTS
- 08 PORTABLE ALPHA & ACTIVE EXTENSION
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Authors
Marlin NaidooMurray Jallands
Securities
SPXMagnificent 7MXWONikkei 225
Themes
Regional Rebalancing (Away from US)Rising Strategy DispersionTreasury and Operational Efficiency (SMAs/Portable Alpha)
Regions
North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaJapan
