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BNP Paribas

January 1, 2026

Hedge Fund Outlook

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BNP Paribas' 2026 outlook reveals high allocator confidence in hedge funds following a year of target-beating returns (10.53%), with 66% of investors planning to increase allocations.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Hedge funds successfully met investor targets in 2025, delivering 10.53% returns (Cash + 641 bps).
  • 2.Allocator sentiment is bullish for 2026, with 66% planning to increase hedge fund allocations, potentially adding $24 billion in net inflows.
  • 3.Europe and Asia Pacific are the primary allocation hotspots, with 34% and 30% of allocators respectively planning to add exposure in 2026.

Table of Contents

  • METHODOLOGY & RESPONDENT PROFILE
  • HEDGE FUND PERFORMANCE TRENDS & PREDICTIONS
  • HEDGE FUND ASSET FLOWS TRENDS & PREDICTIONS
  • HEDGE FUND PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION & PLANS
  • HEDGE FUND STRATEGY ALLOCATION PLANS
  • HEDGE FUND FEES
  • SEPARATELY MANAGED ACCOUNTS
  • PORTABLE ALPHA & ACTIVE EXTENSION

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Authors

Marlin NaidooAshley WilsonMurray Jallands

Securities

SPXMagnificent 7MXWONikkei 225Bloomberg Global High Yield

Themes

China and APAC Re-entryHurdle Rate RenaissanceTreasury Efficiency through SMAs

Regions

North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaJapan