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Barclays

May 12, 2026

US Equity Factor Insights May 2026

Market ReportEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsInformation TechnologyEnergy

Barclays adopts a 'Risk-on' factor stance for May 2026, upgrading Growth and Momentum to Positive while downgrading Quality to Negative. They remain bullish on Large-cap over Small-cap equities driven by superior earnings growth in the TMT sector.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Barclays has upgraded Growth and Momentum to Positive as risk-on sentiment returns to the market following strong earnings and fading geopolitical concerns.
  • 2.The report maintains a Positive stance on Large-cap over Small-cap stocks, citing better operating leverage, margins, and earnings revisions for mega caps.
  • 3.Quality has been downgraded to Negative because its defensive attributes are out of favor as investors rotate back into speculative AI-linked sectors like semiconductors.

Table of Contents

  • What's changed
  • What's driving the change
  • What stays the same?
  • US factor analysis and views: May 2026
  • Equity market performance in April 2026
  • US Factor Basket Performance in the Past Month
  • US Factor Discussion & Recommendations
  • Turn Positive on Growth and Neutral on Value
  • We stay Positive on Large-over-Small
  • Upgrade Momentum from Neutral to Positive
  • Turn Negative on Quality
  • Upgrade to Neutral on High-over-Low Volatility
  • Stay Neutral on Yield (Dividends + Buybacks)
  • Analyst(s) Certification(s)
  • Important Disclosures

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Authors

Riddhiman DassVenu KrishnaRex FengTianqi Feng

Securities

SPXAMZNBig Tech

Themes

AI Capex SupercycleRisk-on Sentiment RecoveryHigher-for-longer Rates

Regions

North AmericaUnited States