June 16, 2026

Technical Views Currencies Commodities and 10Y Yield

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This report provides technical analysis of global currencies, commodities, and government bond yields as of June 16, 2026. Market trends are characterized by a struggle for direction among major pairs, a technical breakdown in WTI crude, and cautious positioning in Treasury yields.

Key Takeaways

1.WTI crude oil has experienced a significant technical breakdown, focusing attention on the 200-day SMA as critical support.
2.The US dollar index (DXY) is testing key resistance at 100-100.36 without a clear breakout, while major pairs remain largely range-bound.
3.German 10-year yields are stabilizing above 2.91%, suggesting upward momentum could push toward 3.35%.

Oil slides, precious stabilize, yields pause again below resistance levels
Forex: Major Pairs
DXY (LT): Indicators close to posting positive signals
DXY (ST): Testing the upper band of the lateral range
EUR/USD (MT): Stabilization below 1.2020
EUR/USD (ST): Indecision persists within the range
USD/CHF (MT): Ongoing pressure, but tentative signs of momentum shift
USD/CHF (ST): Attempting a move above 0.80
GBP/USD (LT): Stabilization below key resistance at 1.3771
GBP/USD (ST): consolidation around the 200-day SMA
USD/JPY (MT): Back at key resistance area 160–162
USD/JPY (ST): Testing resistance area at 160 – 162 with bearish RSI divergence
USD/CNH (ST): Initial recovery signal with 6.83 in focus
Forex: Minor Pairs
EUR/CHF (LT): Negative momentum may persist, but scope for recovery remains
EUR/CHF (ST): Testing resistance
EUR/GBP (ST): bullish momentum, which began in early 2025, is now at risk
AUD/USD (MT): Pullback to 0.6956–0.6757
USD/CAD (MT): Stabilization above 1.3540
USD/CAD (ST): Relief rally may extend towards 1.4150
Commodities
WTI Crude Oil (ST): Significant technical breakdown shifts focus to 200-day SMA
Gold (ST): Stabilisation attempt after falling below 200-day SMA
Silver (ST): Still holding above support, potential rebound to 78.90
Copper (MT): Holding above 6.14, rise to 7.06
Govt. Bond Yields
US 10-Year Treasury Yield (MT): Pause after recent attempt to break above resistance
US 5-Year Treasury Yield (ST): Consolidation towards 4.01–3.92% before a new attempt?
US 2-Year Treasury Yield (MT): Consolidation under way before a new rise?
US 10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread (MT): Consolidation in progress towards 0.30
Germany 10-Year Yield (ST): Stabilising above 2.91%
Japan 10-Year Yield (ST): Pullback in progress towards 2.34%