Markets Today

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Global markets ended the week on a firm note despite Middle East volatility, while US consumer sentiment hit record lows due to rising gasoline prices. Fed Governor Waller adopted a hawkish tone, leading markets to price in a higher probability of rate hikes by December.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Global equities remain resilient, with the S&P 500 extending its longest weekly winning streak since late 2023 despite Middle East geopolitical tensions.
  • 2.Fed Governor Waller has shifted to a hawkish stance, suggesting rates should stay on hold and potentially rise if Iran-related inflation pressures persist.
  • 3.US consumer sentiment has plunged to record lows as high gasoline prices ($4.55/gallon) and cost-of-living pressures erode personal finances.

Table of Contents

  • Events round-up
  • Good morning
  • Currencies
  • Equities
  • Commodities
  • Interest Rates
  • NZ Government Bonds
  • NZ BKBM and Swap Yields
  • NZ Inflation-Indexed Bonds
  • NZD exchange rates
  • NZD/USD Forward Points
  • NZD/AUD Forward Points
  • Contact Details

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Authors

Stuart RitsonStephen ToplisDoug SteelJason WongMike Jones

Securities

SPXBrent CrudeUS 10-Year TreasuryNZDUSDNKY

Themes

Geopolitical conflict as an inflation driverCentral Bank Pivot to HawkishnessConsumer Sentiment vs Market Performance Divergence

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaEuropeNew ZealandUnited StatesJapan