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May 25, 2026

New Zealand Morning Focus

Daily UpdateFXRates Govt BondsEquitiesEnergyFinancials

Markets are balancing optimism regarding a potential US-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz against hawkish signals from Fed Governor Waller. Meanwhile, US consumer sentiment has hit a historical record low as inflation expectations rise.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.US and Iranian officials are reportedly nearing an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, though critical nuclear and asset issues remain unresolved.
  • 2.Fed Governor Waller has shifted to a more hawkish stance, supporting the removal of the FOMC's easing bias and acknowledging that rate hikes cannot be ruled out.
  • 3.US consumer sentiment has plunged to a record low, while long-term inflation expectations have risen significantly.

Table of Contents

  • Highlights
  • Data and events today
  • Financial markets
  • Global markets overview
  • Key data and events
  • Key themes and views
  • Important Notice

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Authors

Miles WorkmanDavid CroyHenry Russell

Securities

NZDUSDSPXWTIUS 10yr Treasury

Themes

Geopolitical De-escalationMonetary Policy Pivot (Hawkish)Stagflationary Signals

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaMiddle EastNew ZealandUnited StatesIran