Markets are balancing optimism regarding a potential US-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz against hawkish signals from Fed Governor Waller. Meanwhile, US consumer sentiment has hit a historical record low as inflation expectations rise.
Key Takeaways
- 1.US and Iranian officials are reportedly nearing an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, though critical nuclear and asset issues remain unresolved.
- 2.Fed Governor Waller has shifted to a more hawkish stance, supporting the removal of the FOMC's easing bias and acknowledging that rate hikes cannot be ruled out.
- 3.US consumer sentiment has plunged to a record low, while long-term inflation expectations have risen significantly.
Table of Contents
- Highlights
- Data and events today
- Financial markets
- Global markets overview
- Key data and events
- Key themes and views
- Important Notice
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Authors
Miles WorkmanDavid CroyHenry Russell
Securities
NZDUSDSPXWTIUS 10yr Treasury
Themes
Geopolitical De-escalationMonetary Policy Pivot (Hawkish)Stagflationary Signals
Regions
Asia PacificNorth AmericaMiddle EastNew ZealandUnited StatesIran
