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May 13, 2026

New Zealand Morning Focus

Daily UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsFXEnergyReal Estate

Stronger-than-expected US CPI data has pushed bond yields to 2026 highs and bolstered the USD, while global equity markets declined on rising oil prices.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.US April CPI rose 0.6% m/m (3.8% y/y), driven by high energy costs, pushing headline inflation to its highest level since May 2023.
  • 2.Global bond yields firmed, with the US 10-year note hitting a new high for 2026, leading to a higher bias for local rates.
  • 3.US small business optimism remains fragile; despite a slight rise in the index, capital expenditure plans fell to the lowest level since 2009.

Table of Contents

  • Highlights
  • Data and events today
  • Financial markets
  • Global markets overview
  • Key data and events
  • Market snapshot (07:15 NZ Time)
  • Key data releases
  • What's ahead today
  • Key themes and views
  • Important Notice

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Authors

Matt DillyDavid CroyBrian Martin

Securities

NZDUSDUS 10-year Treasury noteSPXBrent Crude

Themes

Inflation PersistenceRising Global YieldsSmall Business Economic Fragility

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesNew ZealandAustralia