ANZ
May 29, 2026
New Zealand Business Outlook
Monthly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsIndustrialsConsumer Discretionary
The May ANZ New Zealand Business Outlook reported a recovery in business confidence to +10 and own activity to 25.6, although levels remain depressed relative to the period preceding the Middle East conflict. Inflation expectations eased slightly to 3.63%, while cost expectations remain historically high at 90.4.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Business confidence saw a significant lift of 21 points in May, reaching +10, though it remains below pre-Middle East conflict levels.
- 2.Inflation indicators, including expectations and pricing intentions, showed slight easing this month.
- 3.Profitability remains under pressure as the gap between rising costs and limited pricing power persists, particularly in the agricultural sector.
Table of Contents
- Small bounce
- Our take
- Survey Results May 2026
- Charts
- Meet the team
- Important Notice
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Authors
Sharon ZollnerDavid CroyMatt DillyMiles WorkmanMatthew Galt
Themes
Business Confidence RecoveryMargin CompressionGeopolitical Shock (Middle East)Freight and Supply Chain Disruptions
Regions
Asia PacificNew Zealand
