Monetary Policy Expectations Analysis

This report details market expectations for central bank interest rate moves across NZ, US, AU, Eurozone, UK, and Canada through mid-2027.

Key Takeaways

• 1.New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) is priced for a significant tightening cycle, rising from a current 2.25% to an expected 3.62% by August 2027.
• 2.The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to raise the cash rate from 4.35% to a peak of approximately 4.72% by late 2026.
• 3.US Federal Reserve expectations remain relatively flat with a minor upward bias, projecting a move from an effective FFR of 3.63% to 3.76% by April 2027.

Table of Contents

• Monetary Policy Expectations Analysis
• Important notice

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