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June 30, 2026

China PMIs Beat Market Expectation In June

Monthly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyOther

China's June 2026 PMI data outperformed market expectations, indicating sustained industrial strength and a stabilization in the services sector. Consequently, Q2 GDP growth is expected to remain above 4.5% year-on-year.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs exceeded market expectations in June 2026, signaling sustained economic momentum.
  • 2.China's GDP growth for Q2 2026 is projected to remain above 4.5% year-on-year.
  • 3.Input and output cost pressures eased significantly in June, aided by a 20% decline in Brent oil prices.

Table of Contents

  • Greater China Insight
  • Sub-indices

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Authors

Vicky Xiao ZhouRaymond Yeung

Securities

Brent Crude Oil

Themes

Economic StabilizationInflationary PressuresManufacturing Resilience

Regions

Asia PacificChina