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July 2, 2026

Australian Morning Focus

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesFXEnergyOther

Global markets were mixed following less hawkish central bank commentary and weaker-than-expected US manufacturing data. Meanwhile, European inflation data surprised to the downside, reinforcing the outlook for a pause in tightening cycles.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Equity markets were mixed and US bond yields reversed gains after Fed Chair Warsh's appearance failed to deliver a hawkish tone.
  • 2.Euro area headline and core inflation surprised to the downside in June, suggesting a shift away from further policy tightening.
  • 3.Crude oil extended losses as Doha peace talks between the US and Iran eased supply disruption fears.

Table of Contents

  • Highlights
  • Today (AEST)
  • Global markets overview
  • Data/event pulse
  • Key themes and views
  • Market at 6:45am today
  • Key data releases
  • What's ahead today
  • Commodities
  • Change* since 4pm last trading day
  • Important Notice

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Authors

Jasmine ZhengBrian MartinDaniel Hynes

Securities

S&P 500WTI Crude Oil

Themes

Central Bank Policy PivotGeopolitical De-escalation

Regions

EuropeUnited StatesAustraliaNew Zealand