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June 19, 2026

Australian Morning Focus

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesEnergyMaterials

Global markets are reacting to the US-Iran peace deal which has reopened the Strait of Hormuz, easing energy supply concerns. Concurrently, the Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish bias despite market expectations of stable rates.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The US-Iran peace deal has taken effect, leading to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and a resumption of oil/gas supplies.
  • 2.The Federal Reserve's recent dot plot signals a hawkish shift as it prioritizes returning inflation to target, resulting in a neutral-to-hawkish bias for interest rates.
  • 3.The Bank of England held rates steady at 3.75%, with expectations of remaining on hold until a potential resumption of cuts in Q4.

Table of Contents

  • Highlights
  • Today (AEST)
  • Global markets overview
  • Data/event pulse
  • Key themes and views
  • Commodities
  • Important Notice

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Authors

Madeline DunkBrian MartinDaniel Hynes

Securities

S&P 500WTI Oil

Themes

Energy supply normalizationCentral bank inflation vigilance

Regions

GlobalAsia PacificUnited StatesIranAustralia