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June 1, 2026

Australian Morning Focus

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesEnergyMaterials

Global markets are shifting to a risk-on tone following reports of a potential US-Iran ceasefire, leading to a significant drop in oil prices. Meanwhile, investors are preparing for mixed Eurozone inflation data and the release of Australian Q1 GDP figures.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Prospects of a US-Iran deal are driving market sentiment, leading to lower oil prices and a risk-on tone in equities.
  • 2.Euro area inflation data for May is mixed; however, an ECB rate hike in June is almost fully priced in by the market.
  • 3.ANZ forecasts a 0.5% q/q rise for Australian Q1 GDP, noting high equipment spending but expecting an offset from import volumes.

Table of Contents

  • Highlights
  • Today (AEST)
  • Global markets overview
  • Data/event pulse
  • Key themes and views
  • Commodities
  • Important Notice

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Authors

Jack ChambersBrian MartinDaniel Hynes

Securities

SPXUS 10y TreasuryWTI Oil futuresXAUAUDUSD

Themes

Geopolitical De-escalationMonetary Policy DivergenceCommodity Supply Fragility

Regions

Asia PacificEuropeNorth AmericaAustraliaUnited StatesGermany