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May 29, 2026

Australian Morning Focus

Daily UpdateFXCommoditiesEquitiesEnergyMaterials

Global markets were driven by reports of a tentative US-Iran deal that lowered oil prices and US yields, alongside softer US PCE inflation data. US economic outlook concerns rose as Q1 GDP was revised down to 1.6%, showing reliance on AI investment.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Reports of a potential 60-day US-Iran ceasefire deal weighed on oil prices and sparked a risk-on market tone.
  • 2.US Q1 GDP growth was revised lower to 1.6%, highlighting that underlying economic momentum is narrowing outside of the AI sector.
  • 3.US April PCE inflation data was softer than expected, with core services prices excluding housing hitting a 12-month low in monthly gains.

Table of Contents

  • Highlights
  • Today (AEST)
  • Global markets overview
  • Data/event pulse
  • Key themes and views
  • Market at 6:45am today
  • Key data releases
  • What's ahead today
  • Commodities
  • Important Notice

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Authors

Mahjabeen ZamanBrian MartinDaniel Hynes

Securities

S&P 500WTI Oil futuresAUDUSDUS 10Y Treasury Note

Themes

US-Iran Geopolitical De-escalationUS Economic Soft Landing vs. FragilityAI-Driven Investment Proxy

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificMiddle EastUnited StatesAustraliaNew Zealand