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May 21, 2026

Australian Morning Focus

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXEnergyMaterials

Global markets rallied as oil prices slumped over 5% on news of a potential US-Iran peace deal, offsetting a hawkish set of FOMC minutes. UK inflation slowed more than anticipated, while Australian markets look ahead to key labor force data.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Progress toward a US-Iran draft agreement has triggered a sharp drop in oil prices and a recovery in global risk appetite.
  • 2.Fed minutes from the April meeting revealed a hawkish stance, with members noting inflation may take longer than expected to hit the 2% target.
  • 3.UK inflation data came in significantly lower than expected, with CPI falling to 2.8% y/y against expectations of 3.3%.

Table of Contents

  • Highlights
  • Today (AEST)
  • Global markets overview
  • Data/event pulse
  • Key themes and views
  • Commodities
  • Important Notice

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Authors

Adam BoytonBrian MartinDaniel Hynes

Securities

S&P 500US 10yr TreasuryWTI Oil FutureAUDUSDXAU=

Themes

Geopolitical De-escalationCentral Bank Hawkishness vs DisinflationCommodity Supply Chain Volatility

Regions

GlobalNorth AmericaAsia PacificAustraliaUnited StatesUnited Kingdom