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ANZ

May 13, 2026

Australian Morning Focus

Daily UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesEquitiesEnergyMaterials

ANZ highlights the 2026-27 Australian Federal Budget's tax reforms and notes that US CPI has reached a three-year high of 3.8%. Global commodity markets are volatile as Persian Gulf supply disruptions threaten a record quarterly crude inventory drawdown.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Australian Budget 2026-27 includes significant policy changes to capital gains tax (CGT), negative gearing, and trust taxation.
  • 2.US April CPI inflation rose to 3.8% y/y, its highest since May 2023, primarily driven by a 17.9% surge in energy costs.
  • 3.Severe oil supply disruptions in the Middle East, specifically the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, are causing historic global crude inventory drawdowns.

Table of Contents

  • Highlights
  • Today (AEST)
  • Global markets overview
  • Data/event pulse
  • Key themes and views
  • Commodities
  • Important Notice

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Authors

Kishti SenBrian MartinDaniel Hynes

Securities

S&P 500Brent CrudeCopperAUDUSDTitan Co Ltd

Themes

Geopolitical Supply DisruptionsPersistent Inflationary PressureAustralian Fiscal Policy Shift

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaMiddle EastAustraliaUnited StatesChina