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June 10, 2026

Australian Monthly Wrap

Monthly UpdateRates Govt BondsFXCommoditiesOther

The Australian economy is exhibiting signs of slowing growth, characterized by weakening household spending, a cooling housing market, and softening labor statistics. ANZ expects the RBA to maintain the cash rate at 4.35% for an extended period.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Australian economic growth momentum is easing as household spending and labor market conditions soften.
  • 2.The RBA is expected to keep the cash rate at 4.35% for a prolonged period, with a June hike appearing unlikely.
  • 3.Global monetary tightening continues, with ECB hikes expected and the Fed expected to remain on hold before December cuts.

Table of Contents

  • Rates and policy: Budget to remain in deficit; cash rate peaks
  • Australian data: Signs of GDP softness
  • Global: Oil prices and global monetary tightening
  • Data releases
  • Key Charts
  • Recently published reports
  • Forecasts

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Authors

Aaron LukJasmine ZhengSiddhant Kalra

Securities

AUDUSD

Themes

Economic SlowdownFiscal PolicyMonetary Tightening

Regions

Asia PacificAustraliaUnited StatesNew Zealand