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ANZ

June 5, 2026

Australian Macro Weekly

Weekly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesEnergyReal Estate

Australia's GDP grew 0.3% in Q1 2026, signaling a slowdown in economic momentum. ANZ expects the RBA cash rate to remain unchanged at 4.35% due to softening household incomes and discretionary spending.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Australia's Q1 2026 GDP grew 0.3% q/q, showing signs of easing momentum despite some strength in private demand.
  • 2.The RBA cash rate is likely to remain at 4.35% given softer household income and weak discretionary spending.
  • 3.Global shipping costs rose 22.6% in the week, the sharpest weekly rise since June 2025.

Table of Contents

  • The week that was
  • Energy/supply chain monitor
  • Recent insights
  • Data previews
  • Forecasts
  • Data and event calendar
  • Five-week calendar

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Authors

Adam BoytonJasmine ZhengMadeline DunkAaron LukSophia Angala

Securities

Murban Crude

Themes

Economic SlowdownEnergy Supply Chain Risks

Regions

Asia PacificMiddle EastAustraliaUnited States
Australian Macro Weekly | Finvaulta