ANZ
May 15, 2026
Australia April CPI Forecast
Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesConsumer StaplesReal Estate
ANZ Research forecasts Australia's April trimmed mean inflation to accelerate to 3.4% y/y as input costs begin filtering through the consumer basket. Headline CPI is expected at 4.3% y/y, partially offset by significant policy-driven declines in fuel and transport costs.
Key Takeaways
- 1.ANZ expects Australia's trimmed mean inflation to rise 0.3% m/m in April, pushing the annual growth rate to 3.4% y/y.
- 2.Headline inflation is projected to rise 0.5% m/m, though the annual rate is likely to moderate to 4.3% y/y from 4.6% in March.
- 3.Policy interventions, including a halved fuel excise and free public transport in Victoria and Tasmania, are significantly dampening transport costs.
Table of Contents
- Australia's April CPI: trimmed mean to accelerate to 3.4% y/y
- Breaking down our April CPI forecast
- Important Notice
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Authors
Madeline DunkAdam Boyton
Securities
CPI - HeadlineCPI - Trimmed MeanXAU
Themes
Inflationary Pass-throughPolicy Intervention Impact
Regions
Asia PacificAustralia
