Crédit Agricole CIB
February 3, 2026
USD Squeezed and Steepened
Daily UpdateFXMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsInformation Technology
The USD is strengthening as investors pare back dovish Fed expectations following strong manufacturing data and a short squeeze. Meanwhile, the RBA hiked rates to 3.85% in a hawkish shift driven by persistent inflation and growth concerns.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The USD is recovering due to better-than-expected US ISM manufacturing data and a squeeze of crowded short positions.
- 2.The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a hawkish 25bp rate hike to 3.85%, citing broad-based and persistent inflation.
- 3.A partial US government shutdown has delayed major labor market data releases (JOLTS and Non-farm Payrolls), shifting focus to Fed speeches.
Table of Contents
- Asia overnight
- USD: squeezed and steepened
- AUD: RBA performs a hawkish hike
- Open trade recommendations
- Key events
- Red Mount Analytics
- Global Markets Research contact details
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Authors
Valentin MarinovDavid ForresterAlexandre Dolci
Securities
AUDUSDEURUSDEURSEKPLTR
Themes
Central Bank Policy DivergenceYield Curve Steepening
Regions
North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesAustraliaNew Zealand
