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WTW

February 1, 2026

Global Investment Outlook

Macro ThematicEquitiesFXMacro Economic IndicatorsIndustrialsInformation Technology

WTW's 2026 outlook forecasts resilient global growth led by the U.S. and AI investment, recommending an overweight position in equities and an underweight in government bonds.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Cyclical growth is expected to continue despite geopolitical volatility, driven largely by AI-related capital expenditure and fiscal spending.
  • 2.WTW maintains an overweight stance on global equities, specifically favoring U.S. and Japanese markets over bonds.
  • 3.U.S. trade policy and tariffs have radically changed global trade relationships, creating uncertainty but also opportunities for regional divergence.

Table of Contents

  • Executive summary
  • Macro and market outlook for the major countries
  • Outlook at a glance
  • Active positioning: highlights
  • United States
  • Euroland
  • Japan
  • United Kingdom
  • Canada
  • Australia
  • China
  • Disclaimer
  • About WTW

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Authors

Author(s)

Securities

JGBU.S. Equities10-year U.S. govt. bondU.K. Gilts

Themes

AI-Driven Productivity and CapexFiscal Expansion and Debt IssuanceTariff-Driven Trade Fragmentation

Regions

North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesJapanChina