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UniCredit

February 13, 2026

The Bottom Line

Weekly UpdateEquitiesFXMacro Economic IndicatorsIndustrialsInformation Technology

UniCredit reports continued economic resilience in the US and Eurozone, with US 4Q25 GDP revised upward to 2.5%. Central bank policy updates across the CEE region suggest a mix of rate cuts and holds depending on local inflation dynamics.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.US 4Q25 GDP growth is expected to reach 2.5%, significantly higher than previous forecasts, driven by resilient net exports and investment.
  • 2.The Eurozone composite PMI is expected to rise to 51.5 in February, signaling continued service-driven growth and a slight recovery in company earnings for 2026.
  • 3.Central European (CEE) monetary policy is diverging: Poland and Hungary face rate cuts, Czechia holds steady, and Romania awaits late-year cuts as inflation remains high.

Table of Contents

  • The Bottom Line
  • Economic momentum set to hold
  • TOP STORIES OF THE UPCOMING WEEK
  • VIEW UPDATE
  • QUOTE OF THE WEEK
  • WHAT WE ARE READING AND LISTENING TO
  • DATA AND EVENTS CALENDAR
  • FORECAST TABLES
  • IN CASE YOU MISSED IT THIS WEEK
  • Authors
  • Legal Notices

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Authors

Christian StockerEszter GárgyánMauro Giorgio MarranoDaniel VernazzaTullia Bucco

Securities

US TreasuriesSXXPBTPs

Themes

Divergent Monetary PolicyMacroeconomic ResilienceTechnological Impact on Markets

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUnited StatesPolandCzechia