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Scotiabank

February 13, 2026

Daily FX Update

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesFXOther

The USD is consolidating with a firmer bias ahead of key US CPI data, supported by a general decline in global risk appetite. Major G10 currencies like the EUR and JPY are showing weakness as central bank dynamics and post-election positioning shift.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The USD is firmer as global risk appetite weakens, with markets anticipating US CPI data to provide clarity on the inflation path.
  • 2.The ECB has entered a 'monitoring mode' regarding the Euro's strength, signaling trade concerns as a major downside risk.
  • 3.The Japanese Yen is experiencing its first significant pullback since the elections, despite hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan.

Table of Contents

  • Analyst Team
  • Overview
  • Soft Risk Mood Lifts USD
  • USDCAD (1.3623)
  • EURUSD (1.1857)
  • GBPUSD (1.3606)
  • USDJPY (153.32)
  • TODAY'S CALENDAR

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Authors

Shaun OsborneEric Theoret

Securities

DXYUSDJPYEURUSDGBPUSDUSDCAD

Themes

Central Bank Communication (ECB/BoJ)Risk-Off Sentiment and Safe HavensUS Inflation and Fed Policy Expectation

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUKUnited StatesCanadaJapan