Halcyon Portfolio Management Limited
February 8, 2026
Russian Monitor
Weekly UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesFXConsumer DiscretionaryEnergy
The report analyzes a potential $12 trillion peace and economic package between the US and Russia while detailing domestic economic strains, including a 30% decline in job vacancies and a bailout request from real estate giant Samolet.
Key Takeaways
- 1.President Zelensky reports that the US seeks a peace treaty by end of spring 2026 to focus on midterm elections, involving a potential $12 trillion 'Dmitriev' economic package.
- 2.The Russian economy shows signs of cooling due to high interest rates, evidenced by a 30% YoY drop in job vacancies.
- 3.Samolet, a major Russian real estate developer, has requested an Rb50bn government bailout, causing its stock to drop 12.5%.
Table of Contents
- MARKETS THIS WEEK
- QUOTE OF THE WEEK
- THIS WEEK'S EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- PEACE NEGOTIATIONS
- TOP GENERAL ASSASSINATED IN MOSCOW
- ANOTHER SIGN OF A FALTERING ECONOMY: NO
- HEADHUNTER'S PROPRIETARY JOB MARKET INDEX
- NUMBER OF NEW VACANCIES, % CHANGE YEAR-ON-YEAR
- A LEADING REAL ESTATE DEVELOPER IS ASKING FOR A BAILOUT
- COMPANY NEWS / MISCELLANEOUS
- RUSSIAN MARKET - KEY INDICATORS
- BEST AND WORST PERFORMERS
- SHARE PRICE PERFORMANCE ON THE MOSCOW EXCHANGE AND KEY VALUATION METRICS
- SELECT MARKETS OF FORMER SOVIET UNION REPUBLICS: GEORGIA, UKRAINE, KAZAKHSTAN
- SECTOR PERFORMANCE
- NATURAL GAS COMPANIES
- OIL MAJORS
- METALS AND MINING
- FINANCIALS
- TECHNOLOGY
- REAL ESTATE DEVELOPERS
- RETAIL
- GOLD MINERS
Document Preview
Access the Full Report
Get unlimited access to institutional research reports with a 14-day free trial.
Authors
Philomath
Securities
SMLT RXOZON RXMDMG RXHEAD RXVSEH RXJRTS
Themes
Economic Slowdown from High Interest RatesOil Revenue Distress and Shadow Fleet SanctionsPeace Negotiations and $12T 'Dmitriev Package'
Regions
EuropeAsia PacificNorth AmericaRussiaUkraineUnited States
